Wednesday, July 13, 2011

Is GOP infighting on the debt limit really about the future of the GOP itself?

Why won't the GOP take the 3 parts cuts to 1 part revenue deal?  From what I understand the tax hike doesn't kick in until 2013.  If the GOP takes the white house and keep the house and senate, they could just do whatever they wanted [like in Wisconsin!] and roll back the tax hike in 2013 with legislation.

If the tax increase goes in, and the majority of voters are FURIOUS about it just like the Tea Party says they are, who are those FURIOUS voters going to vote for in 2012?  They sure as hell are not going to vote Democrat.  So what's the problem?

I think the problem is that classic GOP [vs the Tea Party running under the Republican Party name] fears facing Tea Party candidates that are even -MORE- radically right in 2012 primaries and losing.  It only takes 51% of voters in one of the existing parties to hijack that party and go whatever direction they want to go.

The Tea Party 'sweep' of 2010 proved what we already know; The US has a two party system.  Had the Tea Party ran as a third party they wouldn't have had GOP majority in the house and senate and they couldn't try to u-turn the country based on a populace of 20 to 30% of the voters.  The GOP knows they are in a symbiotic relationship with the Tea Party and have no clue what to do.

The only other outcome I can come up with is that if the Bush Tax cuts for the wealthy are allowed to expire that the majority of Americans will have a positive view of Obama, they'll re-elect him for 4 more years and boot the GOP out of majorities in the house and senate.  By not allowing the revenue increases it makes the Democrats look bad.  But using the same voting logic, do you really think a Democratic voter that wants the tax increases to help balance the budget is going to vote Republican/Tea Party in 2012 if they succeed in not getting revenue raises as part of the package?  Fat chance.

Where are the recent, significant public polling results about support for expiration of the Bush Tax cuts for the wealthy?

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